Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 0.040325 0.047216 0.054809 0.063778 0.074066 0.085481 0.099085
2025-02-16 0.028081 0.036597 0.046901 0.060218 0.076899 0.097022 0.123048
2025-02-23 0.020321 0.029171 0.040814 0.057101 0.079118 0.107640 0.147147
2025-03-02 0.015391 0.024121 0.036505 0.055087 0.081935 0.118925 0.173242
2025-03-09 0.012468 0.021145 0.034305 0.055311 0.087468 0.134172 0.206249
2025-03-16 0.009818 0.017954 0.031105 0.053344 0.089265 0.144025 0.232434
2025-03-23 0.008638 0.016868 0.030923 0.055897 0.098106 0.165120 0.277456
2025-03-30 0.007341 0.015288 0.029601 0.056276 0.103353 0.181023 0.315899
2025-04-06 0.006061 0.013452 0.027483 0.054877 0.105293 0.191597 0.346599
2025-04-13 0.005078 0.011981 0.025758 0.053861 0.107645 0.202923 0.379442
2025-04-20 0.004669 0.011609 0.026064 0.056667 0.117201 0.227551 0.437341
2025-04-27 0.004238 0.011097 0.025995 0.058695 0.125468 0.250583 0.494388
2025-05-04 0.003504 0.009749 0.023989 0.056577 0.125594 0.259027 0.526417
2025-05-11 0.003000 0.008841 0.022784 0.055964 0.128657 0.273315 0.570740
2025-05-18 0.002513 0.007856 0.021223 0.054320 0.129348 0.283037 0.607222
2025-05-25 0.002125 0.007040 0.019911 0.053022 0.130577 0.293888 0.646836
2025-06-01 0.001886 0.006587 0.019413 0.053555 0.135885 0.313522 0.705716
2025-06-08 0.001583 0.005861 0.018069 0.051800 0.135740 0.321666 0.741670
2025-06-15 0.001490 0.005769 0.018414 0.054366 0.146009 0.353084 0.829037
2025-06-22 0.001329 0.005413 0.017960 0.054776 0.151134 0.373663 0.894892
2025-06-29 0.001136 0.004889 0.016915 0.053432 0.151758 0.384198 0.939721
2025-07-06 0.000980 0.004455 0.016052 0.052449 0.153160 0.396600 0.989672
2025-07-13 0.000936 0.004433 0.016470 0.055194 0.164546 0.433291 1.097377